By Joseph A Engelbrecht; Air University (U.S.). Press.; Air University (U.S.). 2025 Support Office
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Additional resources for Alternate futures for 2025--security planning to avoid surprise
To accomplish this, the research and study directors defined the terms and steps of the process, then created a curriculum of presentations and exercises that enabled teams of participants to help create alternate futures. This approach resulted in the first set of curriculum materials for teaching the process and several hundred trained futurists. Twenty-four volunteers continued the process to create the futures described in this work. 5 The systems of interest in this study use the concepts and technologies described in the other 2025 white papers.
7 Peter Schwartz, The Art of the Long View (New York: Currency Doubleday, 1991), 106. , 113. 9 Dr Abby Gray of the Air Command and Staff College faculty has expressed concern regarding the “reproducibility” of the drivers identified by the Alternate Futures group. The drivers were identified by systematically using the Alternate Futures process presented to the 2025 participants by Col Joseph A. , PhD, the 2025 research director. Although this process does not guarantee identification of a unique set of drivers, the process does heuristically generate a set of drivers accepted by the decision maker as being important to the organization and satisfying all the requirements for drivers.
22 Additionally, greed and a growing opulence are increasing social tensions as some resent the increasing difference in income between the wealthy and the middle class. Finally, poor people still exist in many areas despite the overall rising standards of living. The forces of greed, resentment, and religious fundamentalism threaten stability as the Zaibatsu is unable to co-opt 23 everyone. 43 The Nature of Technology n In Zaibatsu, ∆ TeK is Exponential as technological innovations rapidly proliferate around the world.
Alternate futures for 2025--security planning to avoid surprise by Joseph A Engelbrecht; Air University (U.S.). Press.; Air University (U.S.). 2025 Support Office